CHAPECOENSE AF - VASCO DA GAMA
The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Vasco Da Gama is the shortest price on a book of 8.00 / 5.00 / 1.35 (1 / X / 2), an implied 69.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 11.7% / 18.8% / 69.5% on an overround of 6.6%.
Liquidity is strong — €10,560 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Chapecoense Af sit 20th on 21 points (4W 9D 20L) with Vasco Da Gama 13th on 41 points (11W 8D 14L).
Chapecoense Af read L-L-W-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 0D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.
Vasco Da Gama read W-L-W-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 0-1-0 — Chapecoense Af wins, draws, then Vasco Da Gama wins. Their last meeting finished Vasco Da Gama - Chapecoense Af: 1-1.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Chapecoense Af first, then Vasco Da Gama, out of their last six: BEST-WORST (2 wins against 2 defeats).
Chapecoense Af lean hardest on Marco Antonio de Souza Marquinhos Junior (9.5), Giovanni Augusto Oliveira Cardoso (9.4), Eduardo Domachowski (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Vasco Da Gama lean hardest on Leo Jardim (9.5), Santiago Sosa (8.8), Thiago Mendes (8.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: Vasco Da Gama at 1.35 is heavily fancied away from home. Backing a favourite at that price only makes sense on the handicap.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 14th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.