14th November CHAPECOENSE AF - VASCO DA GAMA

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• The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Vasco Da Gama is the shortest price on a book of 6.50 / 4.75 / 1.42 (1 / X / 2), an implied 65.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 14.4% / 19.7% / 65.9% on an overround of 6.9%.

• In the league table Chapecoense Af sit 20th on 21 points (4W 9D 20L) with Vasco Da Gama 13th on 41 points (11W 8D 14L).

• Chapecoense Af read L-L-W-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 0D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.

• Vasco Da Gama read W-L-W-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-0 — Chapecoense Af wins, draws, then Vasco Da Gama wins. Their last meeting finished Vasco Da Gama - Chapecoense Af: 1-1.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Chapecoense Af first, then Vasco Da Gama, out of their last six: BEST-WORST (2 wins against 2 defeats).

• Chapecoense Af lean hardest on Marco Antonio de Souza Marquinhos Junior (9.5), Giovanni Augusto Oliveira Cardoso (9.4), Eduardo Domachowski (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Vasco Da Gama lean hardest on Leo Jardim (9.5), Santiago Sosa (8.8), Thiago Mendes (8.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Vasco Da Gama at 1.42 is heavily fancied away from home. Backing a favourite at that price only makes sense on the handicap.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 13th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.