14th November NACIONAL - ALBION

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• A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Nacional is the shortest price on a book of 1.48 / 3.90 / 5.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 61.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 61.1% / 23.2% / 15.7% on an overround of 10.6%.

• In the league table Nacional sit 3rd on 26 points (8W 2D 3L) with Albion 12th on 13 points (4W 1D 8L).

• Nacional read W-L-W-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 0D 1L) — about as good as form gets.

• Albion read D-W-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-1 — Nacional wins, draws, then Albion wins. Their last meeting finished Albion - Nacional: 3-2.

• Nacional lean hardest on Renato Marin (9.5), Miguel Baeza (9.3), Matheus Dias (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Nacional at 1.48 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 13th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.