STURM GRAZ (W) - FIRST VIENNA (W)
A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Sturm Graz (w) is the shortest price on a book of 1.31 / 4.90 / 6.49 (1 / X / 2), an implied 68.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 68.1% / 18.2% / 13.7% on an overround of 12.2%.
The draw has drifted from 4.75 to 5.10 (6.9%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
In the league table Sturm Graz (w) sit 2nd on 29 points (9W 2D 1L) with First Vienna (w) 6th on 12 points (2W 6D 4L).
Sturm Graz (w) read W-W-W-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.
First Vienna (w) read W-D-D-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 2-0-0 — Sturm Graz (w) wins, draws, then First Vienna (w) wins. Their last meeting finished Sturm Graz (w) - First Vienna (w): 3-2.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Sturm Graz (w) first, then First Vienna (w), out of their last six: O 3.50 2 and 4.
The read: Sturm Graz (w) at 1.31 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 13th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.