MILLONARIOS - ALIANZA FC
A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Millonarios is the shortest price on a book of 1.15 / 6.45 / 15.10 (1 / X / 2), an implied 79.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 79.7% / 14.2% / 6.1% on an overround of 9.1%.
Liquidity is strong — €13,251 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
The goals market is priced 1.95 under 2.5 / 1.79 over 2.5, leaning to the overs.
In the league table Millonarios sit 8th on 27 points (6W 9D 3L) with Alianza Fc 16th on 18 points (5W 3D 10L).
Millonarios read L-D-D-W-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.
Alianza Fc read L-L-L-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 1-0-1 — Millonarios wins, draws, then Alianza Fc wins. Their last meeting finished Alianza Fc - Millonarios: 3-0.
Millonarios lean hardest on Javier Burrai (9.5), Stiven Barreiro (9.3), Daniel Ruiz Rivera (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Alianza Fc lean hardest on Jair Castillo (9.5), Jesus Munoz (9.2), Jhildrey Lasso (8.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Played at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin, capacity 39,512. Diego Ulloa Angulo takes charge.
The read: Millonarios at 1.15 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 20:00 on 14th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.