GRANADA - LAS PALMAS
The market has a firm view on this one. Granada is the shortest price on a book of 1.96 / 3.40 / 3.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 47.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 47.6% / 27.5% / 24.9% on an overround of 7.1%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3.40 (27.5%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Money has come for Las Palmas to win: the price has shortened from 4.30 to 3.76, a move of 14.4%. Steam like that on the day of the game usually reflects team news the wider market has not caught up with yet.
Granada to win has drifted from 1.78 to 1.96 (9.2%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €15,269 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 88% of the matched volume has gone on Granada to win. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.
The Asian line sits at -0.50 goals, with Granada giving the start, split 2.02 / 1.87. The handicap is the cleaner read on the expected margin here.
In the league table Granada sit 5th on 23 points (7W 2D 3L) with Las Palmas 10th on 20 points (6W 2D 5L).
Granada read W-W-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 0D 1L) — about as good as form gets.
Las Palmas read W-W-W-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 0-1-1 — Granada wins, draws, then Las Palmas wins. Their last meeting finished Las Palmas - Granada: 2-0.
Granada lean hardest on Gerard Gumbau (9.5), Manu Lama (9.4), Ruben Alcaraz (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Las Palmas lean hardest on Taisei Miyashiro (9.5), Alex Suarez (8.8), Jose Antonio Caro (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: Granada at 1.96 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it. The late money is pointing the same way.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 14th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.