14th November SWINDON - GRIMSBY

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Grimsby is the shortest price on a book of 3.25 / 3.60 / 2.01 (1 / X / 2), an implied 45.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 28.4% / 25.6% / 45.9% on an overround of 8.3%.

• In the league table Swindon sit 13th on 19 points (5W 4D 5L) with Grimsby 6th on 20 points (5W 5D 4L).

• Swindon read L-W-D-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Grimsby read L-W-W-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 2-1-1 — Swindon wins, draws, then Grimsby wins. Their last meeting finished Grimsby - Swindon: 4-0.

• Swindon team news: Ben Middlemas is progressing well in his recovery from a knee injury.

• Swindon team news: Aaron Drinan was given a break against Plymouth in the EFL Trophy during the week.

• Grimsby team news: Géza Turi and Maldini Kacurri are both away on international duty ahead of gameweek 15.

• Grimsby team news: Justin Amaluzor is likely to take his place in the starting lineup for the journey to Swindon.

• Swindon are without 10 — Sam Inwood (Out - injured), Ryan Tafazolli (Out - injured), Gavin Kilkenny (Out - injured), Harry Smith (Out - injured), Fletcher Holman (Out - injured), Ben Middlemas (Out - unfit).

• Grimsby are without 6 — Géza Turi (Out - international duty), Maldini Kacurri (Out - international duty), Cameron Gardner (Out - injured), Edon Pruti (Out - injured), Doug Tharme (Out - injured), Reece Staunton (Out - injured). Géza Turi (7.42/10) would normally be first on the team sheet — that is a real hole in this side.

• Early lineups are in: Swindon set up 3-4-2-1 against 3-5-2. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Swindon lean hardest on Connor Ripley (9.5), Aaron Drinan (9.5), Stephan Negru (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Sam Inwood is out for Swindon — index 7.0, against 0.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Major loss.

• Ollie Clarke is out for Swindon — index 6.9, against 6.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Paul Glatzel is out for Swindon — index 5.7, against 6.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Grimsby lean hardest on Harvey Rodgers (9.5), Charles Vernam (9.5), Christy Pym (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Géza Turi is out for Grimsby — index 8.4, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Maldini Kacurri is out for Grimsby — index 8.8, against 7.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Real loss.

• The projected score for this one is Swindon 1 - 2 Grimsby, an away win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Grimsby at 2.01 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 13th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.