14th November PORT VALE - ACCRINGTON

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• Bookmakers are siding decisively with one team. Port Vale is the shortest price on a book of 1.96 / 3.30 / 3.70 (1 / X / 2), an implied 47.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 47.1% / 28.0% / 24.9% on an overround of 8.4%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (28.0%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Port Vale sit 19th on 15 points (4W 3D 5L) with Accrington 9th on 19 points (4W 7D 3L).

• Port Vale read W-W-L-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Accrington read W-D-W-D-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 3D 0L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 2-1-0 — Port Vale wins, draws, then Accrington wins. Their last meeting finished Accrington - Port Vale: 0-2.

• Port Vale team news: Connor Hall is a doubt after suffering an injury during the FA Cup victory over Scunthorpe United.

• Port Vale team news: Lewis Montsma is expected to take his place at centre-back for the Accrington Stanley game.

• Accrington team news: Shaun Whalley and Seamus Conneely both played in the EFL Trophy match on Wednesday.

• Accrington team news: Aidan Borland is with Scotland's U21s for international duty, while Donald Love is dealing with an injury.

• Port Vale are without 4 — Connor Hall (Doubtful - injured), Ben Garrity (Out - injured), Mo Faal (Out - injured), Matthew Craig (Out - injured).

• Accrington are without 6 — Josh Woods (Out - injured), Charlie Caton (Out - injured), Donald Love (Doubtful - injured), Isaac Sinclair (Out - injured), Freddie Sass (Out - injured), Aidan Borland (Out - international duty). Of those, Josh Woods (7.42/10) is the one this team genuinely misses.

• Early lineups are in: Port Vale set up 3-4-2-1 against 3-5-2. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Port Vale lean hardest on Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel (9.5), Jaheim Headley (9.2), Onel Hernández (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Connor Hall is out for Port Vale — index 8.1, against 6.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Real loss.

• Ben Garrity is out for Port Vale — index 8.1, against 8.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Accrington lean hardest on Louie Moulden (9.5), Joe Anderson (9.5), Stefan Mols (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Josh Woods is out for Accrington — index 7.1, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Charlie Caton is out for Accrington — index 5.7, against 0.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Real loss.

• Donald Love is out for Accrington — index 8.3, against 5.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Real loss.

• Aidan Borland is out for Accrington — index 8.3, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Port Vale 2 - 2 Accrington, a draw with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Port Vale at 1.96 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 13th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.