14th November CREWE - NEWPORT

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• Bookmakers are siding decisively with one team. Crewe is the shortest price on a book of 2.01 / 3.4 / 3.4 (1 / X / 2), an implied 45.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 45.8% / 27.1% / 27.1% on an overround of 8.6%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.4 (27.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Crewe sit 4th on 22 points (5W 7D 2L) with Newport 14th on 18 points (4W 6D 4L).

• Crewe read L-D-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Newport read L-W-L-D-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-3 — Crewe wins, draws, then Newport wins. Their last meeting finished Newport - Crewe: 2-0.

• Crewe are without 3 — Mickey Demetriou (Out - injured), Owen Taylor (Out - injured), Jack Lankester (Out - unfit).

• Newport are without 5 — Matty Jacob (Out - injured), Christian Doidge (Out - injured), Matt Dibley-Dias (Out - injured), Harrison Pugh (Out - injured), Tanatswa Nyakuhwa (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Crewe set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Crewe lean hardest on Josh March (9.5), Luke Offord (9.5), Lewis Billington (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Mickey Demetriou is out for Crewe — index 5.1, against 6.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Jack Lankester is out for Crewe — index 6.4, against 7.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Newport lean hardest on Kyle Cameron (9.5), Jordan Wright (9.5), Harrison Biggins (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Matty Jacob is out for Newport — index 7.3, against 6.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.

• Christian Doidge is out for Newport — index 5.8, against 6.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Matt Dibley-Dias is out for Newport — index 6.7, against 5.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.

• The projected score for this one is Crewe 2 - 1 Newport, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Crewe at 2.01 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 13th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.