14th November MIRASSOL - ATLETICO MG

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Mirassol is the shortest price on a book of 1.91 / 3.60 / 3.80 (1 / X / 2), an implied 49.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 49.2% / 26.1% / 24.7% on an overround of 6.4%.

• In the league table Mirassol sit 14th on 40 points (10W 10D 14L) with Atletico Mg 7th on 50 points (14W 8D 12L).

• Mirassol read W-L-D-W-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Atletico Mg read L-L-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-1 — Mirassol wins, draws, then Atletico Mg wins. Their last meeting finished Atletico Mg - Mirassol: 1-0.

• Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Mirassol first, then Atletico Mg, out of their last six: HT DRAW 5 and 2, U 2.50 5 and 4, NG 3 and 5.

• Mirassol lean hardest on Reinaldo Manoel da Silva (9.5), Willian Machado (9.3), Igor Formiga (8.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Atletico Mg lean hardest on Gabriel Delfim (9.5), Renan Lodi (8.5), Maycon Barberan (8.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Mirassol at 1.91 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 13th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.