7th November VALENCIA - REAL MADRID

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• A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Real Madrid is the shortest price on a book of 8.5 / 6.25 / 1.27 (1 / X / 2), an implied 73.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 11.0% / 15.0% / 73.9% on an overround of 6.5%.

• In the league table Valencia sit 19th on 9 points (2W 3D 6L) with Real Madrid 3rd on 27 points (9W 0D 2L).

• Valencia read W-L-D-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Real Madrid read W-W-W-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (6W 0D 0L) — about as good as form gets.

• Head to head the record reads 1-1-4 — Valencia wins, draws, then Real Madrid wins. Their last meeting finished Valencia - Real Madrid: 0-2.

• Valencia team news: Sergi Canos and Diego Lopez are both nursing ACL injuries and are not expected to return until December.

• Valencia team news: David Otorbi is unavailable due to a hamstring injury and is expected to return no earlier than early December.

• Real Madrid team news: Raul Asencio is recovering from tibia surgery and isn't expected to return until December.

• Real Madrid team news: Rodrygo remains unavailable with a cruciate ligament and meniscus injury and is not expected back until late November or December.

• Valencia are without 4 — David Otorbi (Out - injured), Sergi Canós (Out - injured), Diego López (Out - injured), Copete (Doubtful - injured).

• Real Madrid are without 3 — Vinícius Júnior (Out - suspended), Rodrygo (Out - injured), Raúl Asencio (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Valencia set up 4-1-4-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Valencia lean hardest on Stole Dimitrievski (8.5), Javi Guerra (8.5), José Gayà (8.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• David Otorbi is out for Valencia — index 6.0, against 8.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Real Madrid lean hardest on Kylian Mbappé (7.7), Jude Bellingham (7.7), Thibaut Courtois (7.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Vinícius Júnior is out for Real Madrid — index 7.1, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Valencia 1 - 3 Real Madrid, an away win by 2 with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Real Madrid at 1.27 is heavily fancied away from home. Backing a favourite at that price only makes sense on the handicap.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 18:00 on 6th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.