LEEDS - TOTTENHAM
There is barely a price between the sides. Tottenham is the shortest price on a book of 2.88 / 3.30 / 2.50 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 33.1% / 28.9% / 38.1% on an overround of 5.0%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (28.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Liquidity is strong — €61,646 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 86% of the matched volume has gone on under 2.5 goals. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.
In the league table Leeds sit 12th on 11 points (2W 5D 2L) with Tottenham 9th on 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
Leeds read L-D-D-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.
Tottenham read W-W-W-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 0-1-5 — Leeds wins, draws, then Tottenham wins. Their last meeting finished Tottenham - Leeds: 1-1.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Leeds first, then Tottenham, out of their last six: HT U 1.50 5 and 6.
Leeds are without 5 — James Justin (Doubtful - injured), Joe Rodon (Doubtful - injured), Mateo Joseph (Out - injured), Gabriel Gudmundsson (Doubtful - injured), Noah Okafor (Doubtful - injured).
Tottenham are without 7 — Sávio (Out - injured), Tosin Adarabioyo (Doubtful - injured), Wilson Odobert (Out - injured), Xavi Simons (Out - injured), Lucas Bergvall (Doubtful - injured), Mykhailo Mudryk (Out - injured). Sávio (7.17/10) would normally be first on the team sheet — that is a real hole in this side.
Early lineups are in: Leeds set up 3-4-2-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Leeds lean hardest on Nico Elvedi (7.7), James Justin (7.7), Jayden Bogle (7.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
James Justin is out for Leeds — index 8.3, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Joe Rodon is out for Leeds — index 5.9, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Gabriel Gudmundsson is out for Leeds — index 9.1, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Noah Okafor is out for Leeds — index 7.5, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Tottenham lean hardest on Antonín Kinsky (9.5), Jan Paul van Hecke (9.1), Micky van de Ven (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Sávio is out for Tottenham — index 7.4, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Tosin Adarabioyo is out for Tottenham — index 6.6, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Lucas Bergvall is out for Tottenham — index 5.8, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Leeds 1 - 1 Tottenham, a draw with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.30 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 17:00 on 6th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.