ARSENAL - HULL
This is priced as a mismatch. Arsenal is the shortest price on a book of 1.17 / 7.5 / 15 (1 / X / 2), an implied 81.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 81.0% / 12.6% / 6.3% on an overround of 5.5%.
Liquidity is strong — €78,194 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Arsenal sit 1st on 24 points (8W 0D 1L) with Hull 11th on 11 points (2W 5D 2L).
Arsenal read W-W-W-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 1D 0L) — about as good as form gets.
Hull read D-D-L-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 4D 2L) — patchy.
Arsenal team news: Bukayo Saka remains Arsenal’s sole injury absence, while William Saliba has returned to first-team training ahead of the Champions League fixture.
Arsenal team news: Max Dowman is suspended for the second of a three-match ban.
Hull team news: Hull will be without several players, with Eliot Matazo, Lucas Gourna-Douath, Ilyas Ansah, Darko Gyabi, Matt Targett, Charlie Hughes and Matt Crooks expected to be unavailable.
Hull team news: Jack Butland is nearing a return from the arm injury picked up in pre-season.
Arsenal are without 2 — Bukayo Saka (Out - injured), Max Dowman (Out - suspended).
Hull are without 8 — Lucas Gourna-Douath (Out - injured), Eliot Matazo (Out - injured), Ilyas Ansah (Out - injured), Darko Gyabi (Out - injured), Charlie Hughes (Out - injured), Jack Butland (Doubtful - injured).
Early lineups are in: Arsenal set up 4-2-3-1 against 5-4-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Arsenal lean hardest on Ezri Konsa (8.4), Bruno Guimarães (8.4), Jurriën Timber (8.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Bukayo Saka is out for Arsenal — index 6.4, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Max Dowman is out for Arsenal — index 5.3, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Hull lean hardest on John Egan (7.7), Oliver McBurnie (7.7), Semi Ajayi (7.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Lucas Gourna-Douath is out for Hull — index 5.2, against 9.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Matt Crooks is out for Hull — index 6.7, against 9.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Arsenal 3 - 0 Hull, a home win by 3 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Arsenal at 1.17 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 17:00 on 6th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.