7th November ARSENAL - HULL

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Arsenal is the shortest price on a book of 1.17 / 7.5 / 15 (1 / X / 2), an implied 81.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 81.0% / 12.6% / 6.3% on an overround of 5.5%.

• Liquidity is strong — €78,795 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.

• In the league table Arsenal sit 1st on 24 points (8W 0D 1L) with Hull 11th on 11 points (2W 5D 2L).

• Arsenal read W-W-W-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 1D 0L) — about as good as form gets.

• Hull read D-D-L-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 4D 2L) — patchy.

• Arsenal team news: Bukayo Saka remains Arsenal’s sole injury absence, while William Saliba has returned to first-team training ahead of the Champions League fixture.

• Arsenal team news: Max Dowman is suspended for the second of a three-match ban.

• Hull team news: Hull will be without several players, with Eliot Matazo, Lucas Gourna-Douath, Ilyas Ansah, Darko Gyabi, Matt Targett, Charlie Hughes and Matt Crooks expected to be unavailable.

• Hull team news: Jack Butland is nearing a return from the arm injury picked up in pre-season.

• Arsenal are without 2 — Bukayo Saka (Out - injured), Max Dowman (Out - suspended).

• Hull are without 8 — Lucas Gourna-Douath (Out - injured), Eliot Matazo (Out - injured), Ilyas Ansah (Out - injured), Darko Gyabi (Out - injured), Charlie Hughes (Out - injured), Jack Butland (Doubtful - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Arsenal set up 4-2-3-1 against 5-4-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Arsenal lean hardest on Ezri Konsa (8.4), Bruno Guimarães (8.4), Jurriën Timber (8.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Bukayo Saka is out for Arsenal — index 6.4, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Max Dowman is out for Arsenal — index 5.3, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Hull lean hardest on John Egan (7.7), Oliver McBurnie (7.7), Semi Ajayi (7.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Lucas Gourna-Douath is out for Hull — index 5.2, against 9.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Matt Crooks is out for Hull — index 6.7, against 9.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Arsenal 3 - 0 Hull, a home win by 3 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Arsenal at 1.17 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 18:00 on 6th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.