7th November LEEDS - TOTTENHAM

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• There is barely a price between the sides. Tottenham is the shortest price on a book of 2.88 / 3.3 / 2.5 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 33.1% / 28.9% / 38.1% on an overround of 5.0%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.3 (28.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• Liquidity is strong — €69,445 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.

• Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 87% of the matched volume has gone on under 2.5 goals. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.

• In the league table Leeds sit 12th on 11 points (2W 5D 2L) with Tottenham 9th on 12 points (3W 3D 3L).

• Leeds read L-D-D-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Tottenham read W-W-W-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-5 — Leeds wins, draws, then Tottenham wins. Their last meeting finished Tottenham - Leeds: 1-1.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Leeds first, then Tottenham, out of their last six: HT U 1.50 5 and 6.

• Leeds are without 5 — James Justin (Doubtful - injured), Joe Rodon (Doubtful - injured), Mateo Joseph (Out - injured), Gabriel Gudmundsson (Doubtful - injured), Noah Okafor (Doubtful - injured).

• Tottenham are without 7 — Sávio (Out - injured), Tosin Adarabioyo (Doubtful - injured), Wilson Odobert (Out - injured), Xavi Simons (Out - injured), Lucas Bergvall (Doubtful - injured), Mykhailo Mudryk (Out - injured). Sávio (7.17/10) would normally be first on the team sheet — that is a real hole in this side.

• Early lineups are in: Leeds set up 3-4-2-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Leeds lean hardest on Nico Elvedi (7.7), James Justin (7.7), Jayden Bogle (7.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• James Justin is out for Leeds — index 8.3, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Joe Rodon is out for Leeds — index 5.9, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Gabriel Gudmundsson is out for Leeds — index 9.1, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Noah Okafor is out for Leeds — index 7.5, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Tottenham lean hardest on Antonín Kinsky (9.5), Jan Paul van Hecke (9.1), Micky van de Ven (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Sávio is out for Tottenham — index 7.4, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Tosin Adarabioyo is out for Tottenham — index 6.6, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Lucas Bergvall is out for Tottenham — index 5.8, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Leeds 1 - 1 Tottenham, a draw with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.3 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 18:00 on 6th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.