7th November ARBROATH - AYR

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Ayr is the shortest price on a book of 2.75 / 3.20 / 2.30 (1 / X / 2), an implied 39.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 32.7% / 28.1% / 39.1% on an overround of 11.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.20 (28.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Arbroath sit 8th on 11 points (3W 2D 8L) with Ayr 7th on 15 points (4W 3D 5L).

• Arbroath read L-L-L-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 0D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.

• Ayr read W-L-D-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-3-2 — Arbroath wins, draws, then Ayr wins. Their last meeting finished Ayr - Arbroath: 1-0.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Arbroath first, then Ayr, out of their last six: BEST-WORST (2 wins against 1 defeats).

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.20 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 18:00 on 6th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.