7th November CALCIO PADOVA - EMPOLI

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Calcio Padova is the shortest price on a book of 2.15 / 3.20 / 3.40 (1 / X / 2), an implied 43.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 43.4% / 29.2% / 27.4% on an overround of 7.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.20 (29.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Calcio Padova sit 10th on 14 points (4W 2D 4L) with Empoli 18th on 8 points (2W 2D 6L).

• Calcio Padova read D-W-W-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Empoli read D-L-L-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.

• Head to head the record reads 1-0-1 — Calcio Padova wins, draws, then Empoli wins. Their last meeting finished Calcio Padova - Empoli: 1-0.

• Calcio Padova lean hardest on Matteo Lovato (9.5), Pietro Fusi (9.0), Giovanni Giunti (8.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Empoli lean hardest on Luca Magnino (9.5), Edoardo Saporiti (9.4), Cristian Cauz (8.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Calcio Padova at 2.15 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 18:00 on 6th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.