7th November CAGLIARI - FROSINONE

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Frosinone is the shortest price on a book of 2.75 / 3.50 / 2.50 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 34.7% / 27.2% / 38.1% on an overround of 4.9%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.50 (27.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• Liquidity is strong — €10,840 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.

• In the league table Cagliari sit 12th on 13 points (4W 1D 5L) with Frosinone 6th on 20 points (6W 2D 2L).

• Cagliari read L-L-L-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Frosinone read W-W-D-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 2-3-1 — Cagliari wins, draws, then Frosinone wins. Their last meeting finished Frosinone - Cagliari: 3-1.

• Cagliari lean hardest on Elia Caprile (9.5), Jose Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas (9.3), Michel Adopo (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Frosinone lean hardest on Romano Schmid (9.5), Antonio Raimondo (9.4), Gabriele Calvani (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.50 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 18:00 on 6th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.