7th November VILA NOVA - CRICIUMA

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Vila Nova is the shortest price on a book of 2.2 / 3.1 / 3.4 (1 / X / 2), an implied 42.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 42.4% / 30.1% / 27.5% on an overround of 7.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.1 (30.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Vila Nova sit 3rd on 63 points (18W 9D 9L) with Criciuma 4th on 62 points (18W 8D 10L).

• Vila Nova read D-L-D-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Criciuma read W-L-W-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 1-2-3 — Vila Nova wins, draws, then Criciuma wins. Their last meeting finished Vila Nova - Criciuma: 1-1.

• Vila Nova lean hardest on Helton Leite (9.5), Andre Luis (9.4), Marquinhos Gabriel (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Criciuma lean hardest on Luciano Castan (9.5), Ronald (9.2), Marcelo Hermes (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Vila Nova at 2.2 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 18:00 on 6th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.