QUEENS PARK RANGERS - DERBY
The market has a firm view on this one. Queens Park Rangers is the shortest price on a book of 1.76 / 3.60 / 4.33 (1 / X / 2), an implied 52.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 52.8% / 25.8% / 21.4% on an overround of 7.7%.
Liquidity is strong — €57,985 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Queens Park Rangers sit 8th on 14 points (3W 5D 1L) with Derby 23rd on 6 points (1W 3D 5L).
Queens Park Rangers read D-D-D-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.
Derby read D-D-L-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 1-0-3 — Queens Park Rangers wins, draws, then Derby wins. Their last meeting finished Queens Park Rangers - Derby: 2-3.
Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Queens Park Rangers first, then Derby, out of their last six: U 2.50 4 and 4, HT U 1.50 4 and 5.
Queens Park Rangers team news: Dennis Cirkin, the left-back, has completed his suspension and is available for QPR.
Queens Park Rangers team news: Tariq Lamptey, however, is unavailable after sustaining an ankle injury against West Ham.
Derby team news: John Eustace may decide to keep the starting XI unchanged for the trip to Loftus Road on Wednesday.
Derby team news: Max Johnston is the newest addition to Derby's list of eight injured players.
Queens Park Rangers are without 3 — Ilias Chair (Out - injured), Tariq Lamptey (Out - injured), Karamoko Dembélé (Out - injured).
Derby are without 8 — Eiran Cashin (Out - injured), Craig Forsyth (Out - injured), Patrick Agyemang (Out - injured), Derry John Murkin (Out - injured), Matt Clarke (Out - injured), Charlie Taylor (Out - injured). Eiran Cashin (7.32/10) would normally be first on the team sheet — that is a real hole in this side.
Early lineups are in: Queens Park Rangers set up 4-3-3 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Queens Park Rangers lean hardest on Glen Kamara (6.9), Kwame Poku (6.9), Nicolas Madsen (6.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Ilias Chair is out for Queens Park Rangers — index 6.6, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Tariq Lamptey is out for Queens Park Rangers — index 5.6, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Derby lean hardest on Alex Mowatt (9.5), Sam Szmodics (9.5), Bobby Clark (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Eiran Cashin is out for Derby — index 5.9, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Charlie Taylor is out for Derby — index 7.7, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Jacob Widell Zetterström is out for Derby — index 6.9, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Max Johnston is out for Derby — index 6.5, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Played at Loftus Road Stadium, capacity 18,439.
The projected score for this one is Queens Park Rangers 2 - 0 Derby, a home win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: Queens Park Rangers at 1.76 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 19:30 on 14th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.