14th October QUEENS PARK RANGERS - DERBY

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Queens Park Rangers is the shortest price on a book of 1.66 / 3.8 / 4.5 (1 / X / 2), an implied 55.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 55.4% / 24.2% / 20.4% on an overround of 8.8%.

• In the league table Queens Park Rangers sit 6th on 14 points (3W 5D 1L) with Derby 23rd on 6 points (1W 3D 5L).

• Queens Park Rangers read D-D-D-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.

• Derby read D-D-L-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 1-0-3 — Queens Park Rangers wins, draws, then Derby wins. Their last meeting finished Queens Park Rangers - Derby: 2-3.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Queens Park Rangers first, then Derby, out of their last six: U 2.50 4 and 4, HT U 1.50 4 and 5.

• Queens Park Rangers team news: Dennis Cirkin, the left-back, has completed his suspension and is available for QPR.

• Queens Park Rangers team news: Tariq Lamptey, however, is unavailable after sustaining an ankle injury against West Ham.

• Derby team news: John Eustace may decide to keep the starting XI unchanged for the trip to Loftus Road on Wednesday.

• Derby team news: Max Johnston is the newest addition to Derby's list of eight injured players.

• Queens Park Rangers are without 3 — Ilias Chair (Out - injured), Tariq Lamptey (Out - injured), Karamoko Dembélé (Out - injured).

• Derby are without 8 — Eiran Cashin (Out - injured), Craig Forsyth (Out - injured), Patrick Agyemang (Out - injured), Derry John Murkin (Out - injured), Matt Clarke (Out - injured), Charlie Taylor (Out - injured). Eiran Cashin (7.32/10) would normally be first on the team sheet — that is a real hole in this side.

• Early lineups are in: Queens Park Rangers set up 4-3-3 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Queens Park Rangers lean hardest on Glen Kamara (6.9), Kwame Poku (6.9), Nicolas Madsen (6.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Ilias Chair is out for Queens Park Rangers — index 6.6, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Tariq Lamptey is out for Queens Park Rangers — index 5.6, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Derby lean hardest on Alex Mowatt (9.5), Sam Szmodics (9.5), Bobby Clark (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Eiran Cashin is out for Derby — index 5.9, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Charlie Taylor is out for Derby — index 7.7, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Jacob Widell Zetterström is out for Derby — index 6.9, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Max Johnston is out for Derby — index 6.5, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Queens Park Rangers 2 - 0 Derby, a home win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Queens Park Rangers at 1.66 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 13th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.