HOFFENHEIM - BESIKTAS
This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Hoffenheim is the shortest price on a book of 1.95 / 4 / 3.4 (1 / X / 2), an implied 48.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 48.5% / 23.7% / 27.8% on an overround of 5.7%.
Liquidity is strong — €37,956 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Hoffenheim sit 30th on 0 points (0W 0D 1L) with Besiktas 4th on 3 points (1W 0D 0L).
Hoffenheim read L-L-L-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 0D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.
Besiktas read W-L-W-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 0D 1L) — about as good as form gets.
Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Hoffenheim first, then Besiktas, out of their last six: O 2.50 5 and 6, HT O 1.50 2 and 6, GG 5 and 5.
Hoffenheim lean hardest on Oliver Baumann (9.5), Ozan Kabak (9.4), Leon Avdullahu (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Besiktas lean hardest on Alexander Nubel (9.5), Salih Oezcan (9.1), Orkun Kokcu (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: Hoffenheim at 1.95 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 21:00 on 14th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.