FC CINCINNATI - NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Fc Cincinnati is the shortest price on a book of 1.79 / 4.33 / 3.60 (1 / X / 2), an implied 52.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 52.3% / 21.6% / 26.0% on an overround of 6.7%.
Under 2.5 goals has drifted from 2.92 to 3.25 (10.2%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €17,425 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 87% of the matched volume has gone on Fc Cincinnati to win. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.
In the league table Fc Cincinnati sit 17th on 36 points (9W 9D 9L) with New England Revolution 7th on 46 points (14W 4D 10L).
Fc Cincinnati read W-L-D-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.
New England Revolution read L-L-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 5-0-1 — Fc Cincinnati wins, draws, then New England Revolution wins. Their last meeting finished New England Revolution - Fc Cincinnati: 0-1.
Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Fc Cincinnati first, then New England Revolution, out of their last six: O 2.50 6 and 6, O 3.50 6 and 1, HT U 1.50 4 and 5.
Fc Cincinnati team news: FC Cincinnati will be without Jose Martinez and Evander for their gameweek 29 clash.
Fc Cincinnati team news: Obinna Nwobodo and Miles Robinson will be assessed by FC Cincinnati ahead of New England Revolution's arrival.
New England Revolution team news: Daniel Gazdag is likely to be recalled to the attack by Marko Mitrovic for the TQL Stadium encounter.
New England Revolution team news: Heading the list of absentees is Jack Harrison, who is joined by two other players.
Fc Cincinnati are without 4 — Evander (Out - injured), José Martínez (Out - injured), Miles Robinson (Doubtful - injured), Obinna Nwobodo (Doubtful - injured). Of those, Evander (7.62/10) is the one this team genuinely misses.
New England Revolution are without 3 — Jack Harrison (Out - injured), Alhassan Yusuf (Out - injured), Leonardo Campana (Out - injured). Of those, Jack Harrison (7.36/10) is the one this team genuinely misses.
Early lineups are in: Fc Cincinnati set up 3-5-2 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Fc Cincinnati lean hardest on Kévin Denkey (7.4), Pavel Bucha (7.4), Kyle Smith (7.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Evander is out for Fc Cincinnati — index 7.2, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Miles Robinson is out for Fc Cincinnati — index 6.4, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Obinna Nwobodo is out for Fc Cincinnati — index 9.5, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
New England Revolution lean hardest on Carles Gil (8.4), Matt Polster (8.4), Matt Turner (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Jack Harrison is out for New England Revolution — index 7.4, against 7.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Alhassan Yusuf is out for New England Revolution — index 5.8, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Fc Cincinnati 2 - 1 New England Revolution, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Fc Cincinnati at 1.79 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 21:00 on 14th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.