22nd October CELTIC - CELTA VIGO

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Celta Vigo is the shortest price on a book of 2.7 / 3.4 / 2.55 (1 / X / 2), an implied 37.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 35.1% / 27.8% / 37.1% on an overround of 5.7%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.4 (27.8%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Celtic sit 33rd on 0 points (0W 0D 2L) with Celta Vigo 29th on 0 points (0W 0D 2L).

• Celtic read W-L-W-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.

• Celta Vigo read W-L-D-W-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Celtic first, then Celta Vigo, out of their last six: HT DRAW 4 and 3, GG 6 and 3, HT GG 5 and 0.

• Celtic team news: Martin O’Neill will be missing Cameron Carter-Vickers, Yang Hyun-Jun and Alistair Johnston, leaving Celtic with limited choices in defence and on the flanks.

• Celtic team news: Viljami Sinisalo is set to start behind Colby Donovan, Dane Murray, Auston Trusty, and Kieran Tierney. Celtic have conceded three or more goals in each of their last three European fixtures, so maintaining compactness between the lines will be crucial.

• Celta Vigo team news: Claudio Giráldez will be without Pablo Durán, Carl Starfelt, Jones El-Abdellaoui, Miguel Román and Borja Iglesias, with the latter’s absence further depleting Celta’s attacking options.

• Celta Vigo team news: Ionuț Radu is set to take up position between a five-man rearguard consisting of Javi Rueda, Yoel Lago, Javi Rodríguez, Marcos Alonso and Sergio Carreira. This setup is likely to enable Celta to defend in a deeper position and aim to take advantage of Celtic's weakness in dealing with turnovers.

• Celtic are without 3 — Alistair Johnston (Out - injured), Yang Hyun-Jun (Out - injured), Cameron Carter-Vickers (Out - injured).

• Celta Vigo are without 5 — Pablo Durán (Out - injured), Borja Iglesias (Out - injured), Carl Starfelt (Out - injured), Jones El Abdellaoui (Out - injured), Miguel Román (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Celtic set up 4-2-3-1 against 5-4-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Celtic lean hardest on Kieran Tierney (9.5), Mika Baur (9.5), Colby Donovan (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Yang Hyun-Jun is out for Celtic — index 5.7, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Cameron Carter-Vickers is out for Celtic — index 7.8, against 8.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Celta Vigo lean hardest on Ionut Radu (8.7), Marcos Alonso (8.7), Ilaix Moriba (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Pablo Durán is out for Celta Vigo — index 5.9, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Carl Starfelt is out for Celta Vigo — index 7.1, against 8.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Miguel Román is out for Celta Vigo — index 6.3, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Celtic 2 - 1 Celta Vigo, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.4 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 21st October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.