22nd October AL HAZEM - AL-FAYHA

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• A narrow edge, nothing more. Al Hazem is the shortest price on a book of 2.2 / 3.25 / 2.88 (1 / X / 2), an implied 41.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 41.0% / 27.7% / 31.3% on an overround of 10.9%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.25 (27.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Al Hazem sit 11th on 9 points (2W 3D 5L) with Al-fayha 15th on 7 points (1W 4D 5L).

• Al Hazem read L-L-D-L-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Al-fayha read L-L-D-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 1-1-0 — Al Hazem wins, draws, then Al-fayha wins. Their last meeting finished Al Hazem - Al-fayha: 2-0.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Al Hazem first, then Al-fayha, out of their last six: HT DRAW 3 and 5, HT GG 2 and 3.

• Al Hazem lean hardest on Sultan Tanker (9.5), Bonheur Mugisha (8.8), Aboubacar Bah (8.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Al-fayha lean hardest on Hugo Moura Arruda da Silva (9.5), Makhir Al Rashidi (9.5), Mohammed Al-Hasawi (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.25 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 21st October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.