22nd October AL-GHARAFA - AL-AHLI

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Al-gharafa is the shortest price on a book of 1.91 / 4.22 / 3.37 (1 / X / 2), an implied 49.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 49.5% / 22.4% / 28.1% on an overround of 5.7%.

• In the league table Al-gharafa sit 10th on 5 points (1W 2D 3L) with Al-ahli 7th on 7 points (2W 1D 3L).

• Al-gharafa read D-L-D-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Al-ahli read L-W-L-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-2 — Al-gharafa wins, draws, then Al-ahli wins. Their last meeting finished Al-gharafa - Al-ahli: 1-4.

• Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Al-gharafa first, then Al-ahli, out of their last six: O 2.50 4 and 5, O 3.50 3 and 3, HT O 1.50 3 and 4.

• The read: Al-gharafa at 1.91 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 21st October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.