22nd October JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK - ANDERLECHT

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Anderlecht is the shortest price on a book of 3.1 / 3.5 / 2.25 (1 / X / 2), an implied 42.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 30.6% / 27.1% / 42.2% on an overround of 5.3%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.5 (27.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Jagiellonia Bialystok sit 17th on 3 points (1W 0D 1L) with Anderlecht 28th on 0 points (0W 0D 2L).

• Jagiellonia Bialystok read L-W-L-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 0D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.

• Anderlecht read L-W-W-L-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Our last-six model flags 5 qualifying strikes here. Reading Jagiellonia Bialystok first, then Anderlecht, out of their last six: O 2.50 4 and 5, O 3.50 3 and 5, HT O 1.50 3 and 5, GG 4 and 6, HT GG 3 and 3.

• Jagiellonia Bialystok team news: Adrian Siemieniec is without Nik Prelec and Norbert Wojtuszek, but has most of his preferred options available.

• Jagiellonia Bialystok team news: Sławomir Abramowicz is set to play behind Rodrigo Conceição, Bernardo Vital, Yuki Kobayashi and Bartłomiej Wdowik. Jagiellonia have conceded 12 goals in their last six matches, so improved defensive control will be crucial against Anderlecht’s attacking midfielders.

• Anderlecht team news: Vítor Bruno is missing Giulian Biancone, Killian Sardella and Ilay Camara, reducing Anderlecht’s defensive options.

• Anderlecht team news: Colin Coosemans is set to line up in front of Kaïs Barry, Andrew Omobamidele, Léo Pétrot and Oleg Reabciuk. Anderlecht have lost five of their last six Europa League matches and require a more composed defensive performance to end that run.

• Jagiellonia Bialystok are without 2 — Nik Prelec (Out - injured), Norbert Wojtuszek (Out - injured).

• Anderlecht are without 3 — Giulian Biancone (Out - injured), Killian Sardella (Out - injured), Ilay Camara (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Jagiellonia Bialystok set up 4-1-3-2 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Jagiellonia Bialystok lean hardest on Jesús Imaz (5.6), Kamil Józwiak (5.6), Bernardo Vital (5.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Nik Prelec is out for Jagiellonia Bialystok — index 7.2, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Norbert Wojtuszek is out for Jagiellonia Bialystok — index 7.2, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Anderlecht lean hardest on Colin Coosemans (9.5), Léo Pétrot (9.5), Mihajlo Cvetkovic (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Giulian Biancone is out for Anderlecht — index 7.5, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 - 1 Anderlecht, a draw with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Anderlecht at 2.25 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 21st October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.