18th October BURGOS CF - SABADELL

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• There is barely a price between the sides. Burgos Cf is the shortest price on a book of 2.68 / 2.94 / 2.98 (1 / X / 2), an implied 35.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 35.6% / 32.4% / 32.0% on an overround of 4.9%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.94 (32.4%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Burgos Cf sit 8th on 14 points (4W 2D 3L) with Sabadell 5th on 16 points (4W 4D 1L).

• Burgos Cf read L-L-W-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Sabadell read W-D-D-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Burgos Cf lean hardest on Grego Sierra (9.5), Javi Llabres (9.5), Dani Ballesteros (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Sabadell lean hardest on Diego Fuoli (9.5), Ton Ripoll i Solera (9.1), Pere Pons Llabres (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 2.94 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 17th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.