18th October CELTA VIGO - DEPORTIVO ALAVES

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Celta Vigo is the shortest price on a book of 2.05 / 3.40 / 3.70 (1 / X / 2), an implied 46.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 46.4% / 28.0% / 25.7% on an overround of 5.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.40 (28.0%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Celta Vigo sit 9th on 8 points (1W 5D 2L) with Deportivo Alaves 7th on 11 points (3W 2D 3L).

• Celta Vigo read L-D-W-L-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Deportivo Alaves read L-D-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 2-1-1 — Celta Vigo wins, draws, then Deportivo Alaves wins. Their last meeting finished Celta Vigo - Deportivo Alaves: 3-4.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Celta Vigo first, then Deportivo Alaves, out of their last six: HT U 1.50 5 and 6.

• Celta Vigo lean hardest on Ferran Jutgla (9.5), Ilaix Moriba (9.3), Marcos Alonso (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Deportivo Alaves lean hardest on Antonio Sivera (9.5), Mariano Diaz (8.4), Antonio Blanco (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Celta Vigo at 2.05 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 17th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.