18th October POGON SIEDLCE - STAL RZESZOW

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Pogon Siedlce is the shortest price on a book of 2.15 / 3.25 / 2.90 (1 / X / 2), an implied 41.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 41.6% / 27.5% / 30.9% on an overround of 11.8%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.25 (27.5%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Pogon Siedlce sit 11th on 12 points (3W 3D 4L) with Stal Rzeszow 9th on 14 points (4W 2D 4L).

• Pogon Siedlce read L-L-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Stal Rzeszow read L-W-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 1-3-1 — Pogon Siedlce wins, draws, then Stal Rzeszow wins. Their last meeting finished Pogon Siedlce - Stal Rzeszow: 1-2.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Pogon Siedlce first, then Stal Rzeszow, out of their last six: BEST-WORST (1 wins against 1 defeats), HT DRAW 4 and 4.

• The read: Pogon Siedlce at 2.15 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 17th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.