18th October ALIANZA LIMA - ATLETICO GRAU

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Alianza Lima is the shortest price on a book of 1.333 / 4.75 / 9 (1 / X / 2), an implied 70.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 70.0% / 19.6% / 10.4% on an overround of 7.2%.

• In the league table Alianza Lima sit 8th on 19 points (5W 4D 2L) with Atletico Grau 11th on 17 points (5W 2D 4L).

• Alianza Lima read W-W-L-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Atletico Grau read D-L-W-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 4-1-1 — Alianza Lima wins, draws, then Atletico Grau wins. Their last meeting finished Atletico Grau - Alianza Lima: 0-1.

• Alianza Lima lean hardest on Alejandro Duarte (9.5), Eryc Castillo (9.2), Renzo Garces (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Atletico Grau lean hardest on Patricio Alvarez (9.5), Ignacio Tapia (9.2), Rafael Guarderas (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Alianza Lima at 1.333 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 17th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.