18th October CESENA - AVELLINO

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Cesena is the shortest price on a book of 2.20 / 3.20 / 3.20 (1 / X / 2), an implied 42.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 42.1% / 28.9% / 28.9% on an overround of 8.0%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.20 (28.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Cesena sit 10th on 7 points (1W 4D 1L) with Avellino 6th on 10 points (3W 1D 2L).

• Cesena read L-D-D-D-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.

• Avellino read W-L-D-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 3-2-1 — Cesena wins, draws, then Avellino wins. Their last meeting finished Avellino - Cesena: 3-1.

• Cesena lean hardest on Alessandro Siano (9.5), Cristian Shpendi (9.1), Mihajlo Ilic (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Avellino lean hardest on Raffaele Russo (9.5), Armando Izzo (9.3), Filippo Missori (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Cesena at 2.20 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 17th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.