18th October FLUMINENSE - SANTOS FC

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Fluminense is the shortest price on a book of 2.01 / 3.60 / 3.40 (1 / X / 2), an implied 46.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 46.5% / 26.0% / 27.5% on an overround of 6.9%.

• In the league table Fluminense sit 4th on 51 points (14W 9D 7L) with Santos Fc 8th on 42 points (11W 9D 10L).

• Fluminense read L-L-W-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.

• Santos Fc read L-D-W-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-1-0 — Fluminense wins, draws, then Santos Fc wins. Their last meeting finished Santos Fc - Fluminense: 0-0.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Fluminense first, then Santos Fc, out of their last six: O 2.50 5 and 6, GG 4 and 6.

• Fluminense lean hardest on Fabio (9.5), Matheus Lima (9.0), Givanildo Vieira De Souza (8.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Santos Fc lean hardest on Gabriel Barbosa (9.5), Gabriel Bontempo (9.2), Willian Arao (8.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Fluminense at 2.01 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 17th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.