12th October BURGOS CF - GRANADA

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Burgos Cf is the shortest price on a book of 2.5 / 3.1 / 2.82 (1 / X / 2), an implied 37.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 37.1% / 29.9% / 32.9% on an overround of 7.7%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.1 (29.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Burgos Cf sit 7th on 14 points (4W 2D 2L) with Granada 9th on 11 points (3W 2D 3L).

• Burgos Cf read L-W-W-W-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Granada read W-L-L-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 1-3-0 — Burgos Cf wins, draws, then Granada wins. Their last meeting finished Granada - Burgos Cf: 0-1.

• Burgos Cf lean hardest on Jon Karrikaburu (9.5), Javi Llabres (9.5), Alberto Dadie (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Granada lean hardest on Gerard Gumbau (9.5), Jose Arnaiz (9.5), Manu Lama (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.1 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 11th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.