LECCE - BOLOGNA
This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Bologna is the shortest price on a book of 4.33 / 3.30 / 1.91 (1 / X / 2), an implied 49.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 21.8% / 28.7% / 49.5% on an overround of 5.8%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (28.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Liquidity is strong — €34,763 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Lecce sit 11th on 6 points (2W 0D 3L) with Bologna 19th on 2 points (0W 2D 3L).
Lecce read L-W-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.
Bologna read D-L-D-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 0-3-3 — Lecce wins, draws, then Bologna wins. Their last meeting finished Bologna - Lecce: 2-0.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Lecce first, then Bologna, out of their last six: NG 5 and 4.
Lecce lean hardest on Nikola Stulic (9.5), Kialonda Gaspar (9.5), Jamil Siebert (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Bologna lean hardest on Tommaso Pobega (9.5), Federico Bernardeschi (9.3), Arthur Theate (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: Bologna at 1.91 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 21:30 on 10th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.