FREIBURG - SCHALKE 04
The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Freiburg is the shortest price on a book of 1.57 / 4.1 / 5.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 60.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 60.4% / 23.1% / 16.5% on an overround of 5.5%.
Liquidity is strong — €45,022 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Freiburg sit 3rd on 10 points (3W 1D 0L) with Schalke 04 12th on 5 points (1W 2D 1L).
Freiburg read D-W-W-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 1D 0L) — about as good as form gets.
Schalke 04 read D-W-D-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.
Freiburg team news: Cyriaque Irié sustained an injury during the international break and may not be fit for Sunday's match.
Freiburg team news: It is expected that Julian Schuster will select the same starting lineup that faced Eintracht Frankfurt last time.
Schalke 04 team news: Dejan Ljubicic has resumed training and could potentially return to the first team on Sunday.
Schalke 04 team news: Timo Becker has been given the all-clear to start after a knock sustained during the international break.
Freiburg are without 2 — Cyriaque Irié (Doubtful - injured), Florent Muslija (Out - injured).
Schalke 04 are without 3 — Adrian Gantenbein (Out - unfit), Bryan Lasme (Out - unfit), Dejan Ljubicic (Doubtful - unfit).
Early lineups are in: Freiburg set up 4-2-3-1 against 3-4-2-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Freiburg lean hardest on Matthias Ginter (7.0), Maximilian Eggestein (7.0), Philipp Lienhart (7.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Schalke 04 lean hardest on Loris Karius (6.1), Kenan Karaman (6.1), Robin Gosens (6.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Dejan Ljubicic is out for Schalke 04 — index 7.5, against 7.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Freiburg 2 - 1 Schalke 04, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Freiburg at 1.57 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 11th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.