12th October MES KERMAN - MES RAFSANJAN

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• There is barely a price between the sides. Mes Kerman is the shortest price on a book of 2.62 / 2.65 / 2.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 34.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 34.0% / 33.6% / 32.4% on an overround of 12.3%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.65 (33.6%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Mes Kerman sit 13th on 3 points (0W 3D 1L) with Mes Rafsanjan 3rd on 8 points (2W 2D 0L).

• Mes Kerman read D-D-L-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Mes Rafsanjan read W-W-D-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-2 — Mes Kerman wins, draws, then Mes Rafsanjan wins. Their last meeting finished Mes Rafsanjan - Mes Kerman: 1-0.

• Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Mes Kerman first, then Mes Rafsanjan, out of their last six: U 2.50 5 and 5, U 1.50 3 and 5, NG 4 and 5.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 2.65 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 11th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.