12th October NOVORIZONTINO - PONTE PRETA

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• A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Novorizontino is the shortest price on a book of 1.09 / 9 / 15 (1 / X / 2), an implied 83.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 83.8% / 10.1% / 6.1% on an overround of 9.5%.

• In the league table Novorizontino sit 3rd on 57 points (16W 9D 7L) with Ponte Preta 20th on 13 points (3W 4D 25L).

• Novorizontino read W-W-D-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Ponte Preta read L-L-L-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 0D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.

• Head to head the record reads 2-1-3 — Novorizontino wins, draws, then Ponte Preta wins. Their last meeting finished Novorizontino - Ponte Preta: 0-1.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Novorizontino first, then Ponte Preta, out of their last six: U 2.50 3 and 5, NG 3 and 6.

• Novorizontino lean hardest on Luis Oyama (9.5), Romulo (9.4), Robson (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Ponte Preta lean hardest on Diego Monteiro Leao (9.5), Sergio Palacios (9.2), Vinicius Ferrari (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Novorizontino at 1.09 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 11th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.