12th October GIMNASIA MENDOZA - NEWELL S OLD BOYS

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Gimnasia Mendoza is the shortest price on a book of 2.25 / 2.85 / 3.7 (1 / X / 2), an implied 41.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 41.7% / 32.9% / 25.4% on an overround of 6.6%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.85 (32.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Gimnasia Mendoza sit 7th on 17 points (5W 2D 4L) with Newell S Old Boys 6th on 17 points (4W 5D 2L).

• Gimnasia Mendoza read L-D-L-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Newell S Old Boys read D-W-D-D-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 4D 0L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-1 — Gimnasia Mendoza wins, draws, then Newell S Old Boys wins. Their last meeting finished Newell S Old Boys - Gimnasia Mendoza: 1-0.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Gimnasia Mendoza first, then Newell S Old Boys, out of their last six: HT U 1.50 4 and 6.

• Gimnasia Mendoza lean hardest on Diego Mondino (9.5), Matias Recalde (9.5), Ezequiel Munoz (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Gimnasia Mendoza at 2.25 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 11th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.