12th November CERRO LARGO - CLUB ATLETICO PROGRESO

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Cerro Largo is the shortest price on a book of 1.80 / 3.30 / 4.10 (1 / X / 2), an implied 50.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 50.4% / 27.5% / 22.1% on an overround of 10.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (27.5%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Cerro Largo sit 15th on 9 points (1W 6D 6L) with Club Atletico Progreso 7th on 19 points (6W 1D 6L).

• Cerro Largo read L-W-D-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Club Atletico Progreso read L-W-W-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-0 — Cerro Largo wins, draws, then Club Atletico Progreso wins. Their last meeting finished Club Atletico Progreso - Cerro Largo: 1-2.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Cerro Largo first, then Club Atletico Progreso, out of their last six: U 2.50 4 and 4, HT U 1.50 4 and 6.

• The read: Cerro Largo at 1.80 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 13:00 on 11th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.