12th November ENGLAND - CROATIA

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• This is priced as a mismatch. England is the shortest price on a book of 1.222 / 7 / 11 (1 / X / 2), an implied 77.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 77.8% / 13.6% / 8.6% on an overround of 5.2%.

• England team news: Harry Kane is set to begin for England, marking his first international appearance since claiming the Ballon d'Or.

• England team news: Bukayo Saka and Marc Guehi will not be available for selection when England face Croatia on Thursday.

• Croatia team news: Ivan Perisic, the winger, will miss the match against England due to a suspension following his red card in the fourth gameweek against Spain.

• Croatia team news: Martin Baturina is likely to take his place, with Mario Pasalic and Petar Sucic potentially also starting.

• England are without 2 — Bukayo Saka (Out - injured), Marc Guéhi (Out - injured).

• Croatia are without 5 — Ivan Perisic (Out - suspended), Kristijan Jakic (Out - injured), Josip Sutalo (Out - injured), Franjo Ivanovic (Out - injured), Marin Pongracic (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: England set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• England lean hardest on Jordan Pickford (8.5), Ezri Konsa (8.5), Jude Bellingham (8.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Bukayo Saka is out for England — index 7.5, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Marc Guéhi is out for England — index 7.5, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Croatia lean hardest on Dominik Livakovic (7.6), Luka Modric (7.6), Josko Gvardiol (7.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Ivan Perisic is out for Croatia — index 7.9, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Kristijan Jakic is out for Croatia — index 6.6, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Josip Sutalo is out for Croatia — index 8.0, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Franjo Ivanovic is out for Croatia — index 6.8, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Marin Pongracic is out for Croatia — index 7.1, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is England 3 - 0 Croatia, a home win by 3 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: England at 1.222 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 13:00 on 11th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.