3rd November CHAPECOENSE AF - MIRASSOL

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Mirassol is the shortest price on a book of 3.60 / 3.60 / 1.96 (1 / X / 2), an implied 47.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 26.1% / 26.1% / 47.9% on an overround of 6.6%.

• In the league table Chapecoense Af sit 20th on 21 points (4W 9D 19L) with Mirassol 16th on 37 points (9W 10D 14L).

• Chapecoense Af read L-W-L-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Mirassol read L-D-W-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-0 — Chapecoense Af wins, draws, then Mirassol wins. Their last meeting finished Mirassol - Chapecoense Af: 1-1.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Chapecoense Af first, then Mirassol, out of their last six: U 2.50 2 and 6, NG 3 and 4.

• Chapecoense Af lean hardest on Marco Antonio de Souza Marquinhos Junior (9.5), Giovanni Augusto Oliveira Cardoso (9.4), Eduardo Domachowski (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Mirassol lean hardest on Willian Machado (9.5), Reinaldo Manoel da Silva (9.3), Igor Formiga (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Mirassol at 1.96 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 2nd November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.