SASSUOLO - FIORENTINA
There is a clear but slim favourite here. Fiorentina is the shortest price on a book of 2.88 / 3.6 / 2.35 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 33.1% / 26.4% / 40.5% on an overround of 5.1%.
Liquidity is strong — €11,849 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 93% of the matched volume has gone on over 2.5 goals. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.
In the league table Sassuolo sit 15th on 8 points (2W 2D 5L) with Fiorentina 17th on 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
Sassuolo read L-L-L-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.
Fiorentina read D-L-L-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 3-1-2 — Sassuolo wins, draws, then Fiorentina wins. Their last meeting finished Fiorentina - Sassuolo: 1-2.
Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Sassuolo first, then Fiorentina, out of their last six: O 2.50 4 and 5, O 3.50 3 and 3, GG 5 and 6.
Sassuolo lean hardest on Armand Laurienté (9.5), Arijanet Muric (9.5), Sebastiano Esposito (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Fiorentina lean hardest on Radu Dragusin (9.5), Franco Mastantuono (8.4), Alex Jimenez (8.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: With barely anything between them on price, this is one to leave alone in the 1X2 market and attack in the goals or handicap markets instead.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 1st November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.