ATALANTA - PARMA CALCIO 1913
A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Atalanta is the shortest price on a book of 1.5 / 4.5 / 6 (1 / X / 2), an implied 63.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 63.2% / 21.1% / 15.8% on an overround of 5.6%.
Liquidity is strong — 15,535 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 86% of the matched volume has gone on over 2.5 goals. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.
In the league table Atalanta sit 12th on 11 points (3W 2D 4L) with Parma Calcio 1913 18th on 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
Atalanta read D-D-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.
Parma Calcio 1913 read D-L-L-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.
Head to head the record reads 2-1-1 — Atalanta wins, draws, then Parma Calcio 1913 wins. Their last meeting finished Atalanta - Parma Calcio 1913: 4-0.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Atalanta first, then Parma Calcio 1913, out of their last six: O 2.50 5 and 5.
Atalanta lean hardest on Jose Nison Dos Santos Silva (9.5), Charles De Ketelaere (9.4), Marco Carnesecchi (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Parma Calcio 1913 lean hardest on David Romero (9.5), Enrico Del Prato (9.3), El Bilal Toure (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: Atalanta at 1.5 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:00 on 1st November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.
