29th October FIORENTINA - ATALANTA

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Fiorentina is the shortest price on a book of 2.2 / 3.6 / 3.1 (1 / X / 2), an implied 43.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 43.1% / 26.3% / 30.6% on an overround of 5.5%.

• In the league table Fiorentina sit 18th on 4 points (1W 1D 6L) with Atalanta 11th on 10 points (3W 1D 4L).

• Fiorentina read L-L-L-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Atalanta read D-L-L-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 2-1-3 — Fiorentina wins, draws, then Atalanta wins. Their last meeting finished Fiorentina - Atalanta: 1-1.

• Our last-six model flags 4 qualifying strikes here. Reading Fiorentina first, then Atalanta, out of their last six: O 2.50 5 and 4, O 3.50 2 and 4, HT O 1.50 3 and 4, GG 6 and 4.

• Fiorentina lean hardest on Radu Dragusin (9.5), Cher Ndour (8.3), Franco Mastantuono (8.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Atalanta lean hardest on Jose Nison Dos Santos Silva (9.5), Marco Carnesecchi (9.4), Charles De Ketelaere (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Fiorentina at 2.2 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 28th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.