29th October ST. LOUIS CITY - PORTLAND TIMBERS

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• The market has a firm view on this one. St. Louis City is the shortest price on a book of 1.86 / 4.10 / 3.50 (1 / X / 2), an implied 50.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 50.4% / 22.9% / 26.8% on an overround of 6.7%.

• Money has come for Portland Timbers to win: the price has shortened from 3.96 to 3.67, a move of 7.9%. Steam like that on the day of the game usually reflects team news the wider market has not caught up with yet.

• In the league table St. Louis City sit 7th on 51 points (14W 9D 8L) with Portland Timbers 21st on 37 points (10W 7D 14L).

• St. Louis City read L-L-D-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Portland Timbers read W-D-L-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 2-2-2 — St. Louis City wins, draws, then Portland Timbers wins. Their last meeting finished St. Louis City - Portland Timbers: 2-1.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading St. Louis City first, then Portland Timbers, out of their last six: O 2.50 5 and 3, O 3.50 3 and 3.

• St. Louis City lean hardest on Roman Burki (9.5), Chris Durkin (9.3), Conrad Wallem (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Portland Timbers lean hardest on David Pereira Da Costa (9.5), Kamal Miller (9.4), Ariel Lassister (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: St. Louis City at 1.86 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it. The late money is pointing the same way.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 28th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.