25th October NACIONAL - LIVERPOOL FC

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Nacional is the shortest price on a book of 1.90 / 3.30 / 3.70 (1 / X / 2), an implied 47.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 47.9% / 27.6% / 24.6% on an overround of 10.0%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (27.6%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Nacional sit 2nd on 23 points (7W 2D 2L) with Liverpool Fc 1st on 24 points (7W 3D 1L).

• Nacional read W-W-W-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 1D 0L) — about as good as form gets.

• Liverpool Fc read W-D-W-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 3-1-0 — Nacional wins, draws, then Liverpool Fc wins. Their last meeting finished Liverpool Fc - Nacional: 0-3.

• Nacional lean hardest on Renato Marin (9.5), Miguel Baeza (9.2), Matheus Dias (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Nacional at 1.90 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 24th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.