LAZIO - PARMA CALCIO 1913
The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Lazio is the shortest price on a book of 1.4 / 4.75 / 8 (1 / X / 2), an implied 68.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 68.0% / 20.1% / 11.9% on an overround of 5.0%.
Liquidity is strong — €20,838 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Lazio sit 2nd on 19 points (6W 1D 0L) with Parma Calcio 1913 19th on 4 points (1W 1D 5L).
Lazio read W-W-W-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 1D 0L) — about as good as form gets.
Parma Calcio 1913 read L-L-W-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.
Head to head the record reads 1-2-1 — Lazio wins, draws, then Parma Calcio 1913 wins. Their last meeting finished Lazio - Parma Calcio 1913: 1-1.
Lazio team news: Lazio's impressive run shows no signs of slowing, with Gennaro Gattuso likely to stick with his favoured 4-3-3 formation.
Lazio team news: Mandas keeps his place in goal, with Floriani Mussolini, Šutalo, Provstgaard, and Nuno Tavares completing the back four.
Parma Calcio 1913 team news: With their backs against the wall, Parma's new manager Alberto Gilardino may be forced to shuffle his starting eleven.
Parma Calcio 1913 team news: Corvi will man the goal in a 3-5-2 formation, with Delprato, Diego Carlos, and Troilo lining up in front of him.
Lazio are without 3 — Adrian Przyborek (Doubtful - injured), Albert Gudmundsson (Out - injured), Adam Marusic (Doubtful - injured).
Parma Calcio 1913 are without 3 — Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Out - injured), Pontus Almqvist (Out - injured), Nesta Elphege (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Lazio set up 4-3-3 against 3-5-2. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Lazio lean hardest on Mattia Zaccagni (9.5), Davide Frattesi (9.5), Nuno Tavares (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Parma Calcio 1913 lean hardest on Diego Carlos (8.6), Emanuele Valeri (8.6), Enrico Delprato (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Nesta Elphege is out for Parma Calcio 1913 — index 7.4, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Lazio 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913, a home win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: Lazio at 1.4 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 21:00 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.