VITORIA DE GUIMARAES - MARITIMO
The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Vitoria De Guimaraes is the shortest price on a book of 1.63 / 3.98 / 5.87 (1 / X / 2), an implied 59.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 59.3% / 24.3% / 16.5% on an overround of 3.5%.
Liquidity is strong — €29,242 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
The goals market is priced 2.00 under 2.5 / 1.88 over 2.5, leaning to the overs.
In the league table Vitoria De Guimaraes sit 15th on 5 points (1W 2D 5L) with Maritimo 12th on 8 points (2W 2D 4L).
Vitoria De Guimaraes read L-D-L-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.
Maritimo read L-D-L-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.
Vitoria De Guimaraes team news: Alioune Ndoye is serving the last of his three-game suspension during the ninth gameweek.
Vitoria De Guimaraes team news: Gustavo Silva is set to rejoin the squad after sitting out the Benfica match.
Maritimo team news: Adrian Butzke, having recovered from a knock, led the line in the previous Liga Portugal match against Porto.
Maritimo team news: Yellu Santiago is the only confirmed absentee for Maritimo's trip to Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques on Friday.
Vitoria De Guimaraes are without 1 — Alioune Ndoye (Out - suspended).
Maritimo are without 1 — Yellu Santiago (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Vitoria De Guimaraes set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Vitoria De Guimaraes lean hardest on Arnel Jakupovic (7.8), Toni Borevkovic (7.8), Oliwier Zych (7.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Alioune Ndoye is out for Vitoria De Guimaraes — index 7.0, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Maritimo lean hardest on Paulo Henrique (9.0), Raphael Guzzo (9.0), Romain Correia (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Played at Dom Afonso Henriques, capacity 30,008.
The projected score for this one is Vitoria De Guimaraes 1 - 0 Maritimo, a home win by 1 with 1 goal in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: Vitoria De Guimaraes at 1.63 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 20:30 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.