COMO - SASSUOLO
This is priced as a mismatch. Como is the shortest price on a book of 1.45 / 5 / 6 (1 / X / 2), an implied 65.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 65.3% / 18.9% / 15.8% on an overround of 5.6%.
Liquidity is strong — 38,323 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Como sit 5th on 14 points (4W 2D 1L) with Sassuolo 13th on 8 points (2W 2D 3L).
Como read W-W-L-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.
Sassuolo read L-D-L-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 1-0-1 — Como wins, draws, then Sassuolo wins. Their last meeting finished Sassuolo - Como: 2-1.
Como team news: Fabregas has some attacking concerns, with Jesus Rodriguez out for a couple of months, and both Moise Kean and Liberali's availability in doubt.
Como team news: Caqueret is set to line up behind Douvikas, with Nico Paz and Baturina accompanying him.
Sassuolo team news: With Idzes and Leysen absent, Aquilani will rely on Caleta-Car and Odenthal in defense, and Cinquegrano and Doig at full-back.
Sassuolo team news: Matic continues to lead the midfield, with Thorstvedt and Adzic providing support, while the ex-Juventus player is preferred to Bakola.
Como are without 5 — Assane Diao (Out - injured), Trevoh Chalobah (Out - injured), Mattia Liberali (Doubtful - injured), Moise Kean (Doubtful - injured), Jesús Rodríguez (Out - injured).
Sassuolo are without 4 — Ismaël Koné (Out - injured), Daniel Boloca (Out - injured), Fedde Leysen (Out - injured), Jay Idzes (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Como set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Como lean hardest on Martin Baturina (7.8), Nico Paz (7.8), Jacobo Ramón (7.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Assane Diao is out for Como — index 8.3, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Trevoh Chalobah is out for Como — index 7.5, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Mattia Liberali is out for Como — index 5.8, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Moise Kean is out for Como — index 5.1, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Jesús Rodríguez is out for Como — index 5.4, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Sassuolo lean hardest on Armand Laurienté (9.5), Arijanet Muric (9.5), Sebastiano Esposito (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Fedde Leysen is out for Sassuolo — index 7.0, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Jay Idzes is out for Sassuolo — index 6.5, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Como 3 - 1 Sassuolo, a home win by 2 with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Como at 1.45 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 14:30 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.
