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24 Oct 14:00 Como v Sassuolo

Predictions

COMO - SASSUOLO

  • This is priced as a mismatch. Como is the shortest price on a book of 1.45 / 5 / 6 (1 / X / 2), an implied 65.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 65.3% / 18.9% / 15.8% on an overround of 5.6%.

  • Liquidity is strong — €38,323 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.

  • In the league table Como sit 5th on 14 points (4W 2D 1L) with Sassuolo 13th on 8 points (2W 2D 3L).

  • Como read W-W-L-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

  • Sassuolo read L-D-L-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

  • Head to head the record reads 1-0-1 — Como wins, draws, then Sassuolo wins. Their last meeting finished Sassuolo - Como: 2-1.

  • Como team news: Fabregas has some attacking concerns, with Jesus Rodriguez out for a couple of months, and both Moise Kean and Liberali's availability in doubt.

  • Como team news: Caqueret is set to line up behind Douvikas, with Nico Paz and Baturina accompanying him.

  • Sassuolo team news: With Idzes and Leysen absent, Aquilani will rely on Caleta-Car and Odenthal in defense, and Cinquegrano and Doig at full-back.

  • Sassuolo team news: Matic continues to lead the midfield, with Thorstvedt and Adzic providing support, while the ex-Juventus player is preferred to Bakola.

  • Como are without 5 — Assane Diao (Out - injured), Trevoh Chalobah (Out - injured), Mattia Liberali (Doubtful - injured), Moise Kean (Doubtful - injured), Jesús Rodríguez (Out - injured).

  • Sassuolo are without 4 — Ismaël Koné (Out - injured), Daniel Boloca (Out - injured), Fedde Leysen (Out - injured), Jay Idzes (Out - injured).

  • Early lineups are in: Como set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

  • Como lean hardest on Martin Baturina (7.8), Nico Paz (7.8), Jacobo Ramón (7.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

  • Assane Diao is out for Como — index 8.3, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

  • Trevoh Chalobah is out for Como — index 7.5, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

  • Mattia Liberali is out for Como — index 5.8, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

  • Moise Kean is out for Como — index 5.1, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

  • Jesús Rodríguez is out for Como — index 5.4, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

  • Sassuolo lean hardest on Armand Laurienté (9.5), Arijanet Muric (9.5), Sebastiano Esposito (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

  • Fedde Leysen is out for Sassuolo — index 7.0, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

  • Jay Idzes is out for Sassuolo — index 6.5, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

  • The projected score for this one is Como 3 - 1 Sassuolo, a home win by 2 with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

  • The read: Como at 1.45 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

  • This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 14:30 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.

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Category: Predictions

Written by: BTFNews

Date: 14:30 23 Oct, 2026